Free sample lesson · Decoding Global M2 Financial News

Defining M2

What if you could measure every dollar available to spend right now?

Lesson 1 of the Wondering course Decoding Global M2 Financial News

What M2 Measures

What if you could measure every dollar available to spend right now?

M2 gives a broad view of the money supply. It includes money used for everyday purchases and assets that can become spendable quickly.

M2 looks beyond cash
  • What M2 includes
  • Everyday spending money: Money used for everyday purchases.
  • Quickly spendable assets: Assets that can become spendable quickly.

M2 reaches beyond cash alone to show broader available financial fuel.

This makes M2 a useful picture of the economy’s available financial fuel. It reaches beyond cash alone.

M2 Starts With M1

M1 forms the foundation of M2. It includes currency and coins held by the non-bank public, checkable deposits, and travelers’ checks.

These forms are highly liquid, meaning people can use them directly for purchases or payments.

M2 then adds another group of assets called near money.

How M2 is built
  • M2: A broad measure of the money supply.
  • M1: The foundation of M2.
  • Currency and coins: Currency and coins held by the non-bank public.
  • Checkable deposits: Deposits used directly for purchases or payments.
  • Travelers’ checks: Highly liquid payment instruments.
  • Near money: Assets added to M1 that can become spendable relatively quickly.

Near Money Explained

Near money includes savings deposits, money market securities, mutual funds, and other time deposits.

These assets are not usually used at the checkout counter. However, people can convert them into cash or checking deposits relatively quickly.

M2 therefore combines direct spending power with funds waiting nearby.

Spend now or convert soon?
  • Direct spending power
  • Funds nearby

Liquidity Has Degrees

Liquidity describes how quickly an asset can become spendable money.

Cash and checkable deposits are more liquid than savings deposits or time deposits. They work better as exchange mediums because people can use them immediately.

Near money remains valuable because conversion is relatively quick. Still, it is less liquid than M1.

Liquidity is a gradient
  • M1
  • Near money

M2 As An Economic Signal

M2 can help investors assess economic liquidity and potential inflation pressure.

When central banks expand M2, they increase the financial fuel available for spending and investment. More available money can influence economic activity.

A contraction in M2 often signals tighter credit conditions. It may indicate that money is becoming less available across the economy.

How M2 can signal conditions
  • M2 changes: A change in the broad money supply.
  • Expand or contract?: Identify whether M2 is expanding or contracting.
  • Expand M2: Central banks increase available financial fuel.
  • More available fuel: More financial fuel is available for spending and investment.
  • Contract M2: A contraction in M2 indicates a reduction in available money.
  • Tighter credit: Tighter credit conditions may mean money is less available across the economy.
  • changes
  • increases
  • often signals

Reading M2 Trends

Monitoring global M2 trends helps connect central bank policy with everyday economic conditions.

Quantitative easing and interest rate adjustments can affect the money supply beyond the base money supply alone.

Use M2 as an indicator, not a complete forecast. Rising or falling M2 offers context for liquidity, spending, investment, and possible inflation.

Indicator, not forecast

Check yourself

_____ includes checkable deposits used for direct payments, while _____ includes savings deposits that usually require conversion before spending.

Answer: M1 includes checkable deposits used for direct payments, while near money includes savings deposits that usually require conversion before spending.

M1 contains highly liquid forms of money, while near money contains assets that must usually be converted before spending.

What does M2 include?

  • M1 plus near money
  • Only physical cash
  • Only long-term investments
  • Only bank reserves

Answer: M1 plus near money

M2 is broader than cash alone. It includes M1 plus near money, such as savings deposits and money market securities.

Which pair is generally more liquid?

  • Cash and checkable deposits
  • Savings deposits and time deposits
  • Mutual funds and long-term bonds
  • Physical assets such as buildings

Answer: Cash and checkable deposits

Cash and checkable deposits are more liquid because people can use them immediately. A savings deposit is less liquid because it generally must be converted or transferred before spending.

Keep going

This is lesson 1 of 4 in Decoding Global M2 Financial News. Next up:

  1. Money Components
  2. Inflation Links
  3. News Analysis

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